Viewing archive of Sunday, 20 September 1998
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 263 Issued at 2200Z on 20 SEP 1998IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19-2100Z to 20-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 21 SEP to 23 SEP
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 SEP 132 Predicted 21 SEP-23 SEP 135/135/140 90 Day Mean 20 SEP 128
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 SEP 008/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 SEP 009/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 SEP-23 SEP 015/015-015/015-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 SEP to 23 SEP
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Arkhangelsk, VorkutaLatest news
CME arrival, G3 storm watch
X1.1 solar flare
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Latest alerts
19:15 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 18:59 UTC
18:33 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.31 flare from sunspot region 4055
CME arrival, G3 storm watch
A coronal mass ejection has arrived at our planet. This is the first of possibly two coronal mass ejections that were expected to arrive from filament eruptions on April 12 and 13. The minor G1 geomagnetic storm threshold has already been reached and the NOAA SWPC has a strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch in place for tomorrow, 16 April. Keep an eye on the data here on this website in the hours ahead. There is more action to come!
18:12 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.15)
17:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 17:32 UTC
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/04/14 | M4.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
| April 2025 | 128.8 -5.4 |
| Last 30 days | 129.1 -15.1 |