Viewing archive of Monday, 14 February 2000
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 045 Issued at 2200Z on 14 FEB 2000IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 15 FEB to 17 FEB
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 FEB 159 Predicted 15 FEB-17 FEB 155/155/150 90 Day Mean 14 FEB 169
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 FEB 013/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 FEB 025/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 FEB-17 FEB 015/015-010/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 FEB to 17 FEB
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 50% | 30% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YTCurrent data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SK, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK
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