Viewing archive of Wednesday, 19 April 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Apr 19 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 19 APR 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS A C5/SF EVENT FROM NEW REGION 8967 (N20E66). REGIONS 8963 (N16W04), AND 8959 (S15W62) PRODUCED SEVERAL MINOR C-CLASS EVENTS. NEW REGIONS 8967, AND 8968 (S13E28) WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. ONE PERIOD OF ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS WAS OBSERVED FROM 19/1500-1800Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH PERIODS OF ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
III. Event Probabilities 20 APR to 22 APR
Class M30%30%30%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       19 APR 168
  Predicted   20 APR-22 APR  170/175/180
  90 Day Mean        19 APR 183
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 APR  005/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 APR  010/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 APR-22 APR  010/015-008/012-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 APR to 22 APR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%25%20%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active35%35%25%
Minor storm20%20%15%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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