Viewing archive of Tuesday, 24 October 2000

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2000 Oct 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Oct 2000

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Only a few small C-class flares occurred. The most interesting event was a long-duration C2 which peaked at 24/0932 UTC. Optical observations suggest that the source of this event was beyond the southeast limb.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The coronal hole disturbance of the past day appears to be coming to an end.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Oct to 27 Oct
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Oct 159
  Predicted   25 Oct-27 Oct  160/160/165
  90 Day Mean        24 Oct 169
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Oct  013/015
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Oct  010/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Oct-27 Oct  005/010-005/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Oct to 27 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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