Viewing archive of Wednesday, 17 October 2001
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 290 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Oct 2001IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 18 Oct to 20 Oct
| Class M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Oct 217 Predicted 18 Oct-20 Oct 220/220/225 90 Day Mean 17 Oct 187
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Oct 006/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Oct 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Oct-20 Oct 008/012-008/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Oct to 20 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Iqaluit, NUNuuk
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