Viewing archive of Friday, 25 February 2005
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Feb 25 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Active periods due to the
effects of a geoeffective high speed stream. Solar wind speed at
ACE has increased from approximately 450 km/s to 550 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on 26 February. On 27 and 28
February, expect unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor
storm periods possible.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Feb 078 Predicted 26 Feb-28 Feb 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 25 Feb 099
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Feb 008/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb 010/015-012/020-012/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaLatest news
Friday, 28 March 2025
X1.1 solar flare
Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth
Saturday, 22 March 2025
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Latest forum messages
AR4046 127Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1657Aurora photography hints for those of us with smartphones 49Large Coronal Hole 25 178LASCO Data Not Updating 5
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Latest alerts
00:00 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.79 flare
Friday, 28 March 2025
23:36 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.04)
21:24 UTC - Hemispheric Power Index
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 51GW at 21:59 UTC
19:45 UTC - Solar flare
Moderate M1.16 flare
19:27 UTC - Radio Blackout
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.1)
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/28 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/27 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 128.3 -26.4 |
| Last 30 days | 128.3 -23.7 |