Viewing archive of Tuesday, 21 June 2005
Solar activity report
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2005IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Jun 083 Predicted 22 Jun-24 Jun 085/085/080 90 Day Mean 21 Jun 093
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun 002/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jun 003/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 003/005-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Reykjavik
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnTrondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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