Viewing archive of Friday, 28 October 2005

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2005 Oct 28 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 301 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Oct 2005

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. No sunspots were reported on the visible disk. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27-2100Z to 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind speed has steadily decreased throughout the day and is now at approximately 400 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 29 Oct to 31 Oct
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       28 Oct 073
  Predicted   29 Oct-31 Oct  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        28 Oct 087
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 27 Oct  005/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 28 Oct  003/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct  008/010-005/005-003/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Oct to 31 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%20%20%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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