Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 February 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Feb 25 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 056 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Feb 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk remains spotless; however, SXI imagery shows a brightening on the east limb at approximately S09. This region was responsible for isolated low level B-class activity. This is likely the return of Region 853 (S09, L=120).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with a chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 28 February.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Feb 076
  Predicted   26 Feb-28 Feb  080/080/080
  90 Day Mean        25 Feb 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Feb  004/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Feb  002/002
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Feb-28 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Feb to 28 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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