Viewing archive of Thursday, 21 June 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jun 21 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled due to recurrent coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active for the forecast period, 22 - 24 June.
III. Event Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       21 Jun 066
  Predicted   22 Jun-24 Jun  068/068/070
  90 Day Mean        21 Jun 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 21 Jun  008/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun  010/015-010/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%40%30%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active45%45%35%
Minor storm20%20%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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