Viewing archive of Monday, 21 June 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jun 21 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 1082 (N27W23)
produced todays only flare, an isolated B1 event at 21/1912Z. A
filament near N19W18 disappeared sometime between 21/0207Z and
21/1200Z, and was associated with a CME on the west limb.
Coronagraph data indicates the CME is not earth directed
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20-2100Z to 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominately quiet with an isolated
unsettled period at 21/0600-0900Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Jun 072 Predicted 22 Jun-24 Jun 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 21 Jun 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun 002/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jun 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun to 24 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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