Viewing archive of Monday, 26 August 2013
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2013 Aug 26 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2013IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z ????
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
????
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
????
III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Aug 111 Predicted 27 Aug-29 Aug 105/100/100 90 Day Mean 26 Aug 114
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug 007/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Aug 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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