Viewing archive of Friday, 11 July 2014
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2014IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jul to 14 Jul
| Class M | 60% | 50% | 30% |
| Class X | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jul 166 Predicted 12 Jul-14 Jul 150/140/135 90 Day Mean 11 Jul 137
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul 011/010 Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jul 006/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul 006/005-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul to 14 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 30% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 15% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NorilskLatest news
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