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X2.0 solar flare from sunspot region 2192
Sunspot region 2192 continues to be very active today. It produced numerous M-class solar flares and even a major X-class solar flare: X2.07 (R3-strong radio blackout) at 14:47 UTC. This was already it's sixth X-class solar flare! However, as you might have guessed already... none of the solar flares (not even the X2 solar flare) were eruptive and it looks like none of them produced a coronal mass ejection. It's starting to look like sunspot region 2192 is going into the history books as the large sunspot group that couldn't deliver.
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukSodankylä
Reykjavik
Tromsø
Kiruna
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Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Coronal hole faces Earth
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Monday, 24 March 2025
Coronal hole faces Earth
The anticipated strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch never materialized as the coronal mass ejection that was supposed to arrive early yesterday didn't arrive until today just past midnight UTC. The impact was very lackluster with the Bt (total strength of the IMF) increasing to a moderate 15nT at best and the solar wind speed reaching just 420km/s. A far cry from the anticipated 700 to 800km/s. That once again goes to show how hard it is to forecast space weather events and any resulting geomagnetic conditions. We remain under the influence of the CME and high latitude sky watchers should remain alert for some nice aurora displays but middle latitude sky watchers will probably have to wait for the next opportunity.
13:55 UTC - Coronal hole
A transequatorial coronal hole is facing Earth. Enhanced solar wind could arrive in ~3 days
02:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 02:33 UTC
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/21 | M1.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/22 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 140.6 -14 |
| Last 30 days | 138 -16.1 |