Issued: 2015 Sep 27 1333 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2015 | 125 | 004 |
| 28 Sep 2015 | 126 | 005 |
| 29 Sep 2015 | 123 | 006 |
Seven active regions were reported by NOAA today. The flaring activity is dominated by the NOAA AR 2422 (Catania number 39) that developed the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. Today it produced two C-class flares, and an M1.9 flare peaking at 10:40 UT. No CME seems to be associated with this flare. We expect flaring activity up to the M-level. Due to the position of the NOAA AR 2422 (Catania number 39) close to the solar central meridian, an eruptive flare in this region may be associated to an Earth-directed CME. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 420 km/s) solar wind flow with average (5-6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 152, based on 19 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
| AK Wingst | 006 |
| Estimated Ap | 005 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 156 - Based on 26 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 1020 | 1040 | 1046 | S22W08 | M1.9 | 1F | 39/2422 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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