Viewing archive of Sunday, 8 November 2015

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2015 Nov 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Nov 2015 until 10 Nov 2015
Solar flares

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Nov 2015115016
09 Nov 2015117035
10 Nov 2015119029

Bulletin

Only one C-class flare was observed during the period: a C2.5 originating south of NOAA 2449's trailing portion at 23:21UT. This active region is currently the most complex group on the solar disk. A filament has developed between NOAA 2448 and 2451, and also trailing NOAA 2448 and NOAA 2443. The other regions were stable and quiet. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections have been observed.

C-class flares are expected.

Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were recorded in the aftermath of the passage of the coronal mass ejection (CME). Solar wind speed declined slowly from its initial 550 km/s to its current values near 460 km/s. Bz was near zero until about 19:00UT and after 07:00UT, while in between it was fairly positive with a maximum around +11 nT during the 00-02UT interval. It dipped again to -9 nT between 10:00 and 11:00UT.

Further quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, until the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region and high speed stream associated with the northern coronal hole later today or tomorrow, which could produce minor storming episodes.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 076, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Nov 2015

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux115
AK Chambon La Forêt030
AK Wingst035
Estimated Ap038
Estimated international sunspot number088 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.17nT), the direction is moderately South (-16.09nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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