Issued: 2015 Nov 08 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
08 Nov 2015 | 115 | 016 |
09 Nov 2015 | 117 | 035 |
10 Nov 2015 | 119 | 029 |
Only one C-class flare was observed during the period: a C2.5 originating south of NOAA 2449's trailing portion at 23:21UT. This active region is currently the most complex group on the solar disk. A filament has developed between NOAA 2448 and 2451, and also trailing NOAA 2448 and NOAA 2443. The other regions were stable and quiet. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections have been observed.
C-class flares are expected.
Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were recorded in the aftermath of the passage of the coronal mass ejection (CME). Solar wind speed declined slowly from its initial 550 km/s to its current values near 460 km/s. Bz was near zero until about 19:00UT and after 07:00UT, while in between it was fairly positive with a maximum around +11 nT during the 00-02UT interval. It dipped again to -9 nT between 10:00 and 11:00UT.
Further quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, until the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region and high speed stream associated with the northern coronal hole later today or tomorrow, which could produce minor storming episodes.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 076, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 115 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 030 |
AK Wingst | 035 |
Estimated Ap | 038 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 088 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
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Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC
Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 13:21 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 125GW at 14:01 UTC
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Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/15 | Kp6+ (G2) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
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