Issued: 2015 Nov 24 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
24 Nov 2015 | 118 | 006 |
25 Nov 2015 | 120 | 022 |
26 Nov 2015 | 122 | 011 |
In the past 24 hours, beta region NOAA AR 2454 produced one C1.3 flare which peaked around 12:13 UT on November 23. C flares are expected within the next 24 hours, with a 10% chance for an M flare. The Earth is currently within a slow solar wind region regime. Solar wind speed varied between 290 and 350 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field ranged between 1 and 4 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on November 24. The expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream may cause active (K Dourbes = 4) geomagnetic levels on November 25 and 26, with a slight chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 120 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
AK Wingst | 001 |
Estimated Ap | 001 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 056 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:33 UTC
Moderate M1.99 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.93)
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:52 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 11:42 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/21 | M1.9 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/20 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 119.2 -15 |
Last 30 days | 113.3 -31 |