Issued: 2015 Nov 25 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Nov 2015 | 115 | 018 |
26 Nov 2015 | 117 | 021 |
27 Nov 2015 | 119 | 015 |
In the past 24 hours, beta region NOAA AR 2454 produced one C1.9 flare which peaked around 8:26 UT on November 25. C flares are expected within the next 24 hours, with a 10% chance for an M flare. STEREO COR2 A first observed a bright CME in its East to Southeast direction at 8:54 UT on November 25. LASCO data are not yet available. This CME is most probably associated with the C1.9 flare of 8:26 UT. Awaiting LASCO imagery, and in view of the location of the flare near the West limb, this CME is not expected to be Earthbound. The Earth is currently within a slow solar wind region regime. Solar wind speed varied between 260 and 360 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field ranged between 2 and 5 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). The expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream may cause active (K Dourbes = 4) geomagnetic levels on November 25, 26 and 27, with a slight chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 060, based on 10 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 113 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 002 |
AK Wingst | 000 |
Estimated Ap | 001 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 062 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 22:47 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 50GW at 21:37 UTC
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) Threshold Reached: 01:41 UTC
The OVATION model predicts the Hemispheric Power Index to reach 76GW at 08:57 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/08 | M1.5 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/06 | Kp5 (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 141.4 +7.2 |
Last 30 days | 137.9 +0.4 |