Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 January 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Jan 11 1237 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Jan 2017 until 13 Jan 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Jan 2017073007
12 Jan 2017074007
13 Jan 2017074007

Bulletin

Solar activity has been very low, no C-class flares in past 24h, the situation is not expected to change.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions have ranged between K=2 and K=3. Solar wind speed is now at 480 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 5 nT. There is a small equatorial coronal hole that could affect the Earth within 24 h, but K is not expected to go above 4.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Jan 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux073
AK Chambon La Forêt022
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap013
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 10 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.01nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.43nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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Latest alerts

17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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