Viewing archive of Tuesday, 7 March 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Mar 07 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 07 Mar 2017 until 09 Mar 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
07 Mar 2017072016
08 Mar 2017073009
09 Mar 2017073014

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low during the period. The solar disk is currently devoided of sunspots. A small active region is about to rotate over the east limb. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Quiet flaring conditions are expected to continue.

Earth remained under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the trans-equatorial extension from the negative southern polar coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed varied between 650 and 550 km/s, with Bz mostly fluctuating between -5 nT and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the Sun. A diffuse positive equatorial CH is transiting the central meridian.

The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels, with a minor storming episode reported during the 18-21UT interval. Mostly quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, with still a chance on a minor storming interval. The particle stream associated with the positive CH is expected to arrive around 9 March resulting in only unsettled to active conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 06 Mar 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt038
AK Wingst026
Estimated Ap028
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 17 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä
Kirkenes
Murmansk, Vorkuta
Luleå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (528.4 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (10.81nT), the direction is slightly South (-8.03nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts moderate storm conditions right now (-62nT)

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