Viewing archive of Wednesday, 8 February 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Feb 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Feb 2017 until 10 Feb 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Feb 2017072014
09 Feb 2017074007
10 Feb 2017075007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2634 went from beta to alpha alpha magnetic field configuration and is the only visible active region on the solar disk. There have been no C-class flares in past 24 h. The situation is not expected to change.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

Geomagnetic conditions have been at k = 2-3 levels. Solar wind speed is now at 480 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 4 nT. The high speed stream (HSS) expected from an equatorial coronal hole may have missed the Earth. This was the case in the previous rotation. It may still arrive today though and cause up to K = 4.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 010, based on 06 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Feb 2017

Wolf number Catania014
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap008
Estimated international sunspot number012 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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Active geomagnetic conditions

Observed Kp: 4
Threshold reached: 22:46 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Tórshavn
Oulu
Reykjavik
Trondheim
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

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