Viewing archive of Saturday, 1 July 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Jul 01 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 01 Jul 2017 until 03 Jul 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
01 Jul 2017072009
02 Jul 2017071008
03 Jul 2017070023

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels during the period. NOAA 2664 was quiet. No earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Quiet flaring conditions are expected.

Solar wind parameters were at nominal values until around 18:00UT, when a gradual intensification set in. Bz had a negative stretch around -6 nT from 02:30UT till 05:30UT, then oscillated between -9 and +8 nT (DSCOVR). Wind speed was steady around 340 km/s till 08UT, before gradually increasing to values near 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. The first of two small negative equatorial coronal holes (CH) has transited the central meridian.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, and is expected to remain so. A glancing blow from the 28 June CME is possible late on 2 or on 3 July, likely followed by the particle stream from the small negative CH. This may result in active geomagnetic conditions, with a chance on a minor storming episode.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 019, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 30 Jun 2017

Wolf number Catania011
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number/// - Based on /// stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.09nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-151nT)

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