Viewing archive of Thursday, 27 July 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Jul 27 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 27 Jul 2017 until 29 Jul 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
27 Jul 2017069006
28 Jul 2017069003
29 Jul 2017070003

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels, and is expected to remain so. The solar disk was spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained slightly above background levels.

Earth is exiting the high speed stream (HSS) from a positive polarity coronal hole (CH). Wind speed gradually decreased from 590 km/s to its current values near 450 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz oscillated between -4 and +3 nT until about 19UT, when it started a much smoother variation between -3 and +2 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun.

The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected, with a chance on an unsettled episode.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 26 Jul 2017

Wolf number Catania013
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst013
Estimated Ap013
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G3 - Strong geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 7
Threshold reached: 19:32 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Copenhagen
Tallinn
Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Surgut, Yaroslavl
Malmö, Stockholm
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (13.94nT), the direction is North (13.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-144nT)

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19:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

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