Issued: 2017 Aug 16 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Aug 2017 | 074 | 010 |
17 Aug 2017 | 077 | 022 |
18 Aug 2017 | 080 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2671 produced only 1 C-class flare in past 24 h (C1.1 peak at 13:52 UT on August 15), associated with a CME directed to the west that is not expected to affect the Earth. This region has a beta magnetic field configuration and it is still evolving, more C-class flares can be expected (and less likely M-class flares).
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet (K and Kp 1 to 2). Solar wind speed is at 370 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity of 5 nT. The fast solar wind from a coronal hole is expected to arrive within 24 h, producing K values up to 5 (with possible isolated periods of K values up to 6).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 029, based on 20 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 074 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 021 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:33 UTC
Moderate M1.99 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.93)
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 13:52 UTC
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 11:42 UTC
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/21 | M1.9 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/21 | Kp5+ (G1) |
Spotless days | |
---|---|
Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
---|---|
March 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
April 2025 | 120 -14.2 |
Last 30 days | 111.9 -31 |