Issued: 2017 Aug 30 1237 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
No forecast
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Aug 2017 | 084 | 005 |
31 Aug 2017 | 083 | 040 |
01 Sep 2017 | 083 | 012 |
Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. There are currently tree active regions on the visible discs, but only Catania group 47 (NOAA region 2674) produced small C-class flare. We expect the activity to remain low with a probability of few sporadic C-class flare.
No other Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph imagery and the solar protons remains at background level.
A minor geomagnetic storm was observed on August, 29 with a peaking around 21:00 UT. This may be due to an Interplanetary CME that provoked a shock onto the Solar Wind on August, 29 around 16:00 UT. Currently, the geomagnetic conditions are returning to quiet with Kp (NOAA) and local K (Dourbes) indexes ranging between 1-2. A minor to moderated storm (K between 5 and 6) is expected on August, 31 when the fast solar wind coming from the large coronal hole crossing the central meridian on August 29 will reach Earth.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 048, based on 19 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 051 |
10cm solar flux | 084 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 011 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 036 - Based on 35 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
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Moderate M1.35 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.03)
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 20:33 UTC
Moderate M1.99 flare
Minor R1 radio blackout in progress (≥M1 - current: M1.93)
Last X-flare | 2025/03/28 | X1.1 |
Last M-flare | 2025/04/22 | M1.3 |
Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/04/21 | Kp5+ (G1) |
Spotless days | |
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Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
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Last 30 days | 111.9 -31 |