Viewing archive of Sunday, 26 November 2017

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2017 Nov 26 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 26 Nov 2017 until 28 Nov 2017
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
26 Nov 2017075006
27 Nov 2017075008
28 Nov 2017075016

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been quiet. No significant flares have been recorded. All Active Regions (AR) have shown low levels of activity. A small filament eruption occurred near disk centre at around 04:00 UT on 2017-Nov-25, Coronagraph imagery suggests the bulk of the ejection headed to the East of the Sun-Earth line and only a glancing blow, if any, can be expected. If so, this is anticipated to arrive at Earth late on 2017-Nov-28. However, projection effects make it difficult to ascertain an accurate speed. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares. The solar wind speed been been decreasing from 400 to 320 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 0 and 5 nT, peaking around 00:00 UT this morning. The Bz component has fluctuated between positive and negative, between -4 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 0-2 (NOAA) and local K index 0-2 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A small transient coronal hole has just passed the central meridian and may enhance solar wind speeds in a couple of days. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 018, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 25 Nov 2017

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux074
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap005
Estimated international sunspot number016 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G4 - Severe geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 8
Threshold reached: 20:54 UTC

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Oulu, Rovaniemi, Kuopio
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Sundsvall, Umeå

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Tampere
The density of the solar wind is moderate (22.35 p/cm3)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (11.64nT), the direction is North (6.15nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-137nT)

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