Viewing archive of Friday, 2 March 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Mar 02 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Mar 2018 until 04 Mar 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Mar 2018067008
03 Mar 2018067008
04 Mar 2018066006

Bulletin

During last 24 hours several B-class and one C-class flare were reported. All the flaring activity originated from the Catania sunspot group 73 (NOAA AR 2007) which is presently situated rather close to the west solar limb. The strongest C1.9 flare peaked at about 11:07 UT today. The coronagraph observations show that the CMEs associated with reported flares were mostly narrow and rather slow and will therefore not arrive to the Earth. During last 24 hours solar protons remained at background level.

The Earth is presently inside the slow solar wind with the speed of about 350 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 4 nT. We might expect increase of the solar wind speed in the coming hours, associated with the coronal hole which reached central meridian in the morning of February 26. The geomagnetic conditions were quiet during last 24 hours and we expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 010, based on 03 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Mar 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt014
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 13 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.09nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-151nT)

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