Viewing archive of Friday, 6 April 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Apr 06 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Apr 2018 until 08 Apr 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Apr 2018066007
07 Apr 2018067007
08 Apr 2018066011

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low with no active regions on the solar disk. No flares have been recorded. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. A low latitude negative polarity coronal hole has reached the central meridian. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours. Only B-class flares can be expected. The solar wind speed has been slowly increasing from around 350 to 450 km/s during the first half of the period. Later solar wind speed growth stabilized around 420 km/s. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated between 2 nT and 9 nT. The Bz component has fluctuated between -6 nT and +7 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels are expected today and tomorrow. Active conditions can be expected most likely from April 8 afternoon due to the influences of a high speed stream coming from the low-latitude negative polarity coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 27 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Apr 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux066
AK Chambon La Forêt012
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap010
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 35 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.09nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-151nT)

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