Viewing archive of Tuesday, 15 May 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 May 15 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 15 May 2018 until 17 May 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
15 May 2018070007
16 May 2018070007
17 May 2018069016

Bulletin

No active regions on the visible solar disc. No C-class flares in past 24 h and the situation is not expected to change.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 h.

The solar wind speed at L1 is at 390 km /s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, the high speed solar wind from a negative polarity coronal hole located in the southern hemisphere is expected to arrive to the Earth in about 48 h and cause disturbed geomagnetic conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 14 May 2018

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 30 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Moscow, Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.13nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.41nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-145nT)

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