Viewing archive of Wednesday, 22 August 2018
Solar activity report
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 234 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Aug 2018IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Aug 067 Predicted 23 Aug-25 Aug 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 22 Aug 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Aug 006/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Aug 008/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug 005/005-008/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 45% | 45% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
NuukRovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Reykjavik
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnOulu
Trondheim
Arkhangelsk
Luleå, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Sundsvall
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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