Viewing archive of Tuesday, 4 September 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Sep 04 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 04 Sep 2018 until 06 Sep 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
04 Sep 2018068005
05 Sep 2018068005
06 Sep 2018068012

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels. A small negative polarity coronal hole is transiting the Central Meridian.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

Around 22:45UT on 3 September, solar wind speed started a gradual increase from about 330 km/s to its current values around 400 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz varied between -7 and +5 nT, with a negative 1-hour stretch near -6 nT centered on 04:10UT. The direction of the interplanetary magnetic field was variable, being in a mostly positive sector (away from the Sun) after 05UT.

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed and are expected to continue. On 6 and 7 September, active conditions are possible with the arrival of the co-rotating interaction region (CIR) and wind stream from the negative polarity CH.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 03 Sep 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst006
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.09nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-151nT)

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