Viewing archive of Thursday, 13 September 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Sep 13 1302 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 13 Sep 2018 until 15 Sep 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
13 Sep 2018070018
14 Sep 2018071013
15 Sep 2018070012

Bulletin

Solar activity was very low. No flares, no earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain low. Solar wind speed decreased from about 540 to 490 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field is below 6 nT. Bz varied between -6 and +5 nT. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were observed. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions can be expected for the next two days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 22 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Sep 2018

Wolf number Catania013
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt026
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap012
Estimated international sunspot number014 - Based on 21 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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