Viewing archive of Saturday, 24 November 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2018 Nov 24 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 24 Nov 2018 until 26 Nov 2018
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
24 Nov 2018069005
25 Nov 2018069007
26 Nov 2018069016

Bulletin

A single minor B1.1 flare occurred from a new bipolar sunspot group emerging from around midnight near N05E10. Chances for C-class flaring remain very low.

No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph images.

Proton flux levels were at background values and are expected to remain so.

A small negative polarity equatorial coronal hole crossed central meridian overnight.

Solar wind was nominal with solar wind speed in the 320-370 km/s range and total magnetic field below 5nT. The magnetic field phi angle is in the negative sector. Nominal conditions are expected over the next days with from November 26 minor enhancements possible due to the relatively small equatorial coronal hole.

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (local K Dourbes and NOAA Kp 0-1) and are expected to remain so, with from November 26 unsettled conditions possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 007, based on 03 stations.

Solar indices for 23 Nov 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux069
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst003
Estimated Ap002
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yekaterinburg
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (507.1 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (15.97nT), the direction is moderately South (-12.38nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-149nT)

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