Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jan 08 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 08 Jan 2019 until 10 Jan 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
08 Jan 2019071003
09 Jan 2019070004
10 Jan 2019070004

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The visible solar disc remained spotless, and no significant flare has been recorded. Quiet flaring conditions are expected for the next 24-hour period.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection has been observed. The greater than 10 MeV solar protons flux remained at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

The solar wind parameters showed a slow return toward the ambient background and slow solar wind speed regime. The wind speed decreased from 530 to 420 km/s. Total interplanetary magnetic field strength was remaining below 6 nT. The southward magnetic component fluctuated between -5 and 5 nT. The solar wind speed is expected to continue its return toward nominal values.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet with a short unsettled period (K-Dourbes index reached 3 on January 7 at 23:00 and 24:00 UT). The conditions are expected to remain quiet.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 14 stations.

Solar indices for 07 Jan 2019

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux072
AK Chambon La Forêt011
AK Wingst007
Estimated Ap006
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 15 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.01nT), the direction is moderately South (-15.43nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-150nT)

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