Viewing archive of Saturday, 20 July 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Jul 20 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 20 Jul 2019 until 22 Jul 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
20 Jul 2019067008
21 Jul 2019066003
22 Jul 2019067006

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun remains spotless and no flares have been observed. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed over the last 24 hours in the available coronagraph imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

The solar wind speed varied between 310 and 360 km/s (ACE). The Bz varied between -3 and +4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was predominantly directed towards the Sun (negative sector). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with the Kp index (NOAA) ranging between 0-2 and the local K index (Dourbes) ranging between 0-3 over the past 24 hours.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue with possible isolated unsettled intervals due to the influence of a small negative polarity equatorial coronal hole which traversed the central meridian on July 16.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 19 Jul 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux067
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap003
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G3 - Strong geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 7
Threshold reached: 19:32 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Copenhagen
Tallinn
Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Surgut, Yaroslavl
Malmö, Stockholm
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (13.94nT), the direction is North (13.19nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-144nT)

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