Viewing archive of Saturday, 17 August 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Aug 17 1309 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 17 Aug 2019 until 19 Aug 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
17 Aug 2019067003
18 Aug 2019067005
19 Aug 2019067008

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. The Sun was spotless. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed during the period. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values.

Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

The solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 400 km/s till 350 km/s over the period. The total interplanetary magnetic field averaged around 4 nT. Bz varied between -2 nT and +2.5 nT.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed. Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 48 hours. Isolated periods of unsettled geomagnetic conditions are possible on August 19 due to influence from a negative polarity coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 15 stations.

Solar indices for 16 Aug 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux///
AK Chambon La Forêt///
AK Wingst///
Estimated Ap///
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 24 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G3 - Strong geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 7
Threshold reached: 19:32 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Kuopio
Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Aalborg
Tallinn
Helsinki, Tampere, Turku
Petrozavodsk, Saint Petersburg, Surgut, Syktyvkar
Stockholm
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (14.44nT), the direction is North (13.76nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-149nT)

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