Viewing archive of Tuesday, 20 August 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Aug 20 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 20 Aug 2019 until 22 Aug 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
20 Aug 2019068009
21 Aug 2019067011
22 Aug 2019067010

Bulletin

The solar activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours. The sun is currently spotless and the X-ray flux remained below B-level. Solar activity is expected to remain at low levels for the next 24 hours.

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed over the last 24 hours in the available coronagraph imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at low levels.

The solar wind parameters show some enhancements starting from August 20, around 01:00 UT: The wind speed increased from 315 km/s to 425 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field reached 10 nT, and the Bz component varied between -7 nT and +7 nT (as recorded by ACE). The solar wind parameters may remain slightly enhanced for the next period due to the effect of a southern coronal hole of negative polarity that was facing Earth on August 18 in about two days.

Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions were observed, Dourbes observed unsettled conditions (K=3) that can be associated with the effect of the southern coronal hole. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for the next period, with small chances of short periods of active conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 19 Aug 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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Latest alerts

19:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 18:38 UTC

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18:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 18:28 UTC

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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15:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC

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14:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC

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