Viewing archive of Friday, 6 September 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Sep 06 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Sep 2019 until 08 Sep 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
06 Sep 2019068007
07 Sep 2019068013
08 Sep 2019068007

Bulletin

No active regions visible on the disk. Solar activity has been very low, no flares in the past 24 h. The situation is not expected to change in the next 48 h.

No Earth directed CMEs in past 24 h. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

The solar wind speed is at 500 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field magnitude of 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet to unsettled, K and Kp reached 4 briefly (at 03:00 UT for Kp and at 07:00 UT for K Dourbes) due to slightly high speed solar wind (~550 km/s) with negative Bz (up to -5 nT) lasting for several hours. The fast solar wind stream associated with a negative polarity coronal hole is expected to arrive to the Earth on September 7. Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions can be expected.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 18 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Sep 2019

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst015
Estimated Ap016
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yekaterinburg
The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (507.1 km/sec.)
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (15.97nT), the direction is moderately South (-12.38nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-149nT)

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