Viewing archive of Saturday, 14 September 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Sep 14 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Sep 2019 until 16 Sep 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Sep 2019068007
15 Sep 2019069004
16 Sep 2019070005

Bulletin

There are no active regions visible on the disk. Solar activity has been very low over the past 24 hours, no significant flares have been recorded. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in past 24 hours. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.

Solar activity is expected to remain low.

The solar wind speed fluctuated between approximately 430 and 520 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was predominantly directed away from the Sun (positive sector). The total magnetic field oscillated around 9 nT until 17:00 UT Sept 13 when it decreased, recording vales around 4 nT for the remainder of the period. The Bz fluctuated between -5 and +8 nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled over the past 24 hours, with the Kp index (NOAA) and the local k index (Dourbes) recording values between 1-2 and 0-3, respectively.

Quiet conditions are expected to continue over the next 48 hours, with isolated unsettled intervals possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 25 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Sep 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux068
AK Chambon La Forêt008
AK Wingst009
Estimated Ap007
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 33 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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Latest alerts

19:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 18:38 UTC

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18:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 18:28 UTC

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17:00 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold Reached: 16:34 UTC

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15:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 15:20 UTC

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14:30 UTC - Geomagnetic activity

Strong G3 geomagnetic storm (Kp7) Threshold Reached: 14:18 UTC

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