Viewing archive of Tuesday, 3 December 2019

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2019 Dec 03 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 03 Dec 2019 until 05 Dec 2019
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
03 Dec 2019070002
04 Dec 2019069005
05 Dec 2019069004

Bulletin

Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible solar disk was spotless. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) have been observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal values. Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.

The solar wind speed decreased from around 340 km/s to near 300 km/s by the end of the period (ACE). The interplanetary magnetic field (phi angle) was predominantly directed towards the Sun (negative sector) for the first part of the period but switched to the positive sector from 3 UT. Bz varied between -3 and +5 nT.

Geomagnetic activity was quiet, with the Kp index (NOAA) registering 0 for the whole period and the local k index (Dourbes) recording values of 0-1. Quiet conditions are expected to continue, with a small possibility of an isolated unsettled interval on December 4, due to the influence of the extension from the southern polar coronal hole.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Dec 2019

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst001
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 23 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 16:44 UTC

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Surgut

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Kazan, Perm, Yakutsk, Yekaterinburg
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (15.79nT), the direction is moderately South (-14.14nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-152nT)

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