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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Mar 24 0055 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 83 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Mar 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (24 Mar, 25 Mar, 26 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 522 km/s at 23/1621Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 22/0012Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 23/0142Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1,230 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (24 Mar) and quiet levels on days two and three (25 Mar, 26 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Mar to 25 Mar
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Mar 070
  Predicted   24 Mar-26 Mar 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        23 Mar 071

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Mar  005/009
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Mar  012/014
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Mar-26 Mar  008/008-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Mar to 26 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%10%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%15%15%
Minor storm20%10%10%
Major-severe storm10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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