Viewing archive of Thursday, 19 November 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Nov 19 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 324 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Nov 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18-2100Z to 19-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 20 Nov to 22 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Nov 077 Predicted 20 Nov-22 Nov 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 19 Nov 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Nov 003/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Nov 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov 006/005-008/008-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Nov to 22 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 20% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 30% | 55% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Iqaluit, NUNuuk
Oulu, Rovaniemi, Sodankylä, Utsjoki
Reykjavik
Kirkenes, Tromsø
Murmansk
Kiruna, Luleå
Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
TórshavnTrondheim
Arkhangelsk
Sundsvall, Umeå
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
KuopioBergen
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future
TamperePetrozavodsk
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