Viewing archive of Wednesday, 2 June 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Jun 02 1233 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 02 Jun 2021 until 04 Jun 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
02 Jun 2021076006
03 Jun 2021077013
04 Jun 2021077007

Bulletin

The solar activity was quiet over the past 24 hours, with the GOES X-ray flux remaining below C-level. The bipolar sunspot group (Catania sunspot group 1, NOAA 2827) has decayed and a new sunspot region (not numbered) has rotated over the East limb in the South hemisphere. The solar activity is expected to remain mostly quiet.

No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) has been detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels in the last 24 hours and is expected to stay at normal levels for the next 24 hours.

The solar wind parameters (as observed by ACE and DSCOVR) showed an ambient background and slow solar wind speed regime. The solar wind speed ranged between 280 km/s to 300 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was below 3.5 nT, and Bz components varied between -3.0 nT and 2.2 nT. The high-speed stream associated with the equatorial coronal hole (that reached the central meridian on May 31) is expected to enhance the solar wind condition later today or tomorrow.

The geomagnetic conditions were quiet over the past 24 hours. The conditions may become more active with the arrival of the high-speed streams from the equatorial coronal hole (that reached the central meridian on May 31) later today or tomorrow.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 028, based on 19 stations.

Solar indices for 01 Jun 2021

Wolf number Catania021
10cm solar flux075
AK Chambon La Forêt003
AK Wingst001
Estimated Ap001
Estimated international sunspot number019 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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G2 - Moderate geomagnetic storm

Observed Kp: 6
Threshold reached: 18:45 UTC

Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future

Arkhangelsk

Current data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Petrozavodsk, Surgut, Syktyvkar

Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following middle latitude regions in the near future

Riga
Perm, Saint Petersburg, Yaroslavl
The strength of the interplanetary magnetic field is moderate (16.06nT), the direction is moderately South (-13.45nT).
The Disturbance Storm Time index predicts strong storm conditions right now (-143nT)

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