Viewing archive of Wednesday, 5 January 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jan 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 5 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jan 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (06 Jan) and
expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight
chance for an M-class flare on days two and three (07 Jan, 08 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 450 km/s at 05/2043Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
05/0416Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
05/1227Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 1009 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Jan, 07 Jan, 08
Jan).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jan to 08 Jan
| Class M | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jan 084 Predicted 06 Jan-08 Jan 084/088/092 90 Day Mean 05 Jan 093
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jan 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jan 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jan to 08 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Major far side eruption, S1 radiation storm
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Latest forum messages
AR 13905 41AR13906 1350 mhz F2 46Coronal mass ejection impact and G4 geomagnetic storm 10 & 11 October 2024 928Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1664
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/11/06 | X2.39 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/23 | M1.1 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2024 | 166.4 +25 |
| November 2024 | 144.7 -21.7 |
| Last 30 days | 158.6 +10.8 |