Viewing archive of Friday, 4 February 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Feb 04 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 35 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 05 Feb to 07 Feb
| Class M | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Proton | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Feb 130 Predicted 05 Feb-07 Feb 132/128/122 90 Day Mean 04 Feb 100
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb 018/026 Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb 020/029 Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb 015/018-014/016-011/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb to 07 Feb
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 30% | 30% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 60% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Norilsk, VorkutaLatest news
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
Coronal hole faces Earth
X2.0 solar flare from sunspot region 4001
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Latest alerts
Saturday, 22 March 2025
23:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) Threshold Reached: 23:37 UTC
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03:45 UTC - Geomagnetic activity
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Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2025/02/23 | X2.0 |
| Last M-flare | 2025/03/21 | M1.2 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2025/03/22 | Kp6- (G2) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| February 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
| March 2025 | 142 -12.6 |
| Last 30 days | 141.3 -10.4 |