Viewing archive of Tuesday, 23 August 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Aug 23 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 235 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Aug 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
23/0211Z from an unnumbered plage region in the southern hemisphere.
There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (24 Aug,
25 Aug, 26 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 550 km/s at 23/0220Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
23/0049Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
23/2100Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 4363 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (24 Aug, 25 Aug, 26
Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 24 Aug to 26 Aug
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Aug 101 Predicted 24 Aug-26 Aug 105/105/105 90 Day Mean 23 Aug 118
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Aug 007/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Aug 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Aug to 26 Aug
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 20% | 15% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Space weather facts
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| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
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