Viewing archive of Monday, 22 August 2022

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Aug 22 2245 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 233 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Aug 2022 COR

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at 22/1409Z from Region 3085 (N30E01). There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
There is a chance for C-class flare on days one, two, and three (23 Aug, 24 Aug, 25 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 623 km/s at 22/0003Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 21/2355Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 22/0032Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3820 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (23 Aug), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (24 Aug) and quiet levels on day three (25 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 Aug 097
  Predicted   23 Aug-25 Aug 100/100/095
  90 Day Mean        21 Aug 118

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 21 Aug  013/015
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 22 Aug  008/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 23 Aug-25 Aug  007/008-008/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Aug to 25 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%15%
Minor storm10%10%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm30%30%20%
Major-severe storm30%30%20%

All times in UTC

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The solar wind speed is currently moderately high (623.93 km/sec.)

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Friday, 14 November 2025
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