Viewing archive of Tuesday, 8 November 2022
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Nov 08 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
08/1702Z from Region 3141 (N14E25). There are currently 6 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class or X-class flare on days one, two, and
three (09 Nov, 10 Nov, 11 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07-2100Z to 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 433 km/s at 08/0652Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 08/0003Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
08/0906Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 364 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (09 Nov, 10 Nov) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (11 Nov).
III. Event Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
| Class M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Class X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Nov 132 Predicted 09 Nov-11 Nov 130/130/130 90 Day Mean 08 Nov 131
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov 012/017 Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov 011/012 Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov 010/012-011/012-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov to 11 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 35% | 35% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 45% | 45% | 35% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Wednesday, 9 October 2024
X1.8 solar flare, severe geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Filaments and prominences 477Ask your obscure/"stupid" space weather questions. 55Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1657iOS missing family sharing for in-app purchases 7Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1212
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/11/06 | X2.39 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/13 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2024 | 166.4 +25 |
| November 2024 | 166 -0.4 |
| Last 30 days | 164 +16.8 |