Viewing archive of Friday, 13 October 2023
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2023 Oct 13 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 286 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Oct 2023IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12-2100Z to 13-2100Z
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
III. Event Probabilities 14 Oct to 16 Oct
| Class M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Oct 149 Predicted 14 Oct-16 Oct 150/150/145 90 Day Mean 13 Oct 159
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Oct 003/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Oct 011/011 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Oct-16 Oct 008/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Oct to 16 Oct
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Major-severe storm | 40% | 30% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Current data suggests there is a high possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Fairbanks, AKCurrent data suggests there is a moderate possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Gillam, MB, Whitehorse, YT, Yellowknife, NTAnchorage, AK, Juneau, AK, Utqiagvik, AK
Current data suggests there is a slight possibility for aurora to appear at the following high latitude regions in the near future
Edmonton, AB, Saskatoon, SKLatest news
X1.1 solar flare
Coronal hole faces Earth
Strong G3 geomagnetic storm watch for 23 March
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