Viewing archive of Saturday, 30 March 2024

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2024 Mar 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 90 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Mar 2024

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C8 event observed at 30/0212Z. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day one (31 Mar) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days two and three (01 Apr, 02 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 432 km/s at 30/2043Z. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 30/2043Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at 30/1848Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 391 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (31 Mar, 01 Apr, 02 Apr). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (31 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
Class M65%01%01%
Class X15%01%01%
Proton10%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Mar 140
  Predicted   31 Mar-02 Apr 135/125/120
  90 Day Mean        30 Mar 164

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Mar  004/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Mar  006/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Mar-02 Apr  009/010-007/010-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Mar to 02 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm30%30%25%
Major-severe storm30%30%25%

All times in UTC

<< Go to daily overview page

Latest news

Support SpaceWeatherLive.com!

A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!

No Ads on SWL Pro!
No Ads on SWL Pro! Subscriptions
Donations
Support SpaceWeatherLive.com! Donate
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Latest alerts

Get instant alerts!

Space weather facts

Last X-flare2025/12/08X1.1
Last M-flare2025/12/12M1.1
Last geomagnetic storm2025/12/12Kp5 (G1)
Spotless days
Last spotless day2022/06/08
Monthly mean Sunspot Number
November 202591.8 -22.8
December 2025131.8 +40
Last 30 days108.3 +14.5

This day in history*

Solar flares
12014X1.25
21998M4.59
32002M2.31
42014M2.16
52014M2.11
DstG
11971-171G3
21982-106G3
32023-76G1
41988-76G2
51977-67G1
*since 1994

Social networks